Middle East and Africa large caliber ammunition market grows with defense upgrades, rising security concerns, and demand for advanced, precision-guided munitions.

According to a recent report by TechSci Research titled “Middle East & Africa Large Caliber Ammunition Market – By Country, Competition, Forecast & Opportunities, 2030F”, the market was valued at USD 22.39 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 27.61 million by 2030, registering a CAGR of 3.61% during the forecast period. This growth is fueled by increasing regional tensions, heightened defense spending, and evolving warfare technologies.

Market Dynamics and Growth Drivers

The Middle East and Africa (MEA) region has witnessed a steady surge in demand for large caliber ammunition, which includes artillery shells, tank ammunition, naval gun rounds, and advanced precision-guided munitions (PGMs). This demand is driven by multiple intersecting factors—ranging from escalating geopolitical tensions to a global shift towards more precise and efficient military technologies.

Major regional players such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Israel, and Egypt account for a significant portion of market demand. These countries are actively bolstering their military capabilities to address both internal and external threats. With ongoing conflicts in regions like Yemen, Syria, and Libya, and broader concerns over border security and terrorism, military modernization has become a key strategic priority. Additionally, the region’s critical energy infrastructure and shipping lanes contribute to the urgent need for robust defense systems.

A primary growth driver is the high defense expenditure of Gulf countries. Saudi Arabia, one of the world's top military spenders, allocates a substantial portion of its GDP to defense. Similarly, nations like the UAE, Qatar, and Kuwait are making significant investments in next-generation military technologies. The acquisition and deployment of advanced artillery systems, tanks, and naval vessels naturally boost demand for corresponding large caliber ammunition systems.

Shift Toward Precision and Modernization

Modern warfare demands more accurate, long-range, and efficient weaponry. As a result, MEA nations are transitioning away from traditional ammunition toward precision-guided munitions (PGMs). These advanced systems—such as the Excalibur artillery shells—incorporate GPS or laser guidance to deliver highly accurate strikes. PGMs offer clear advantages: reduced collateral damage, better target efficiency, and fewer rounds needed to achieve tactical objectives.

The shift toward PGMs is also a response to the increasing complexity of modern battlefields, especially in asymmetric warfare and urban conflict zones. As countries seek to minimize civilian casualties and optimize combat effectiveness, smart ammunition has become a cornerstone of defense strategies. Moreover, PGMs enhance mission success while reducing long-term operational costs—an appealing combination for governments balancing military performance and budgetary constraints.

Market Segmentation and Trends

The Middle East & Africa Large Caliber Ammunition Market is segmented by caliber type, end user, country, and company. Among these, ground forces are currently the fastest-growing end-user segment. Regional militaries are significantly upgrading their land-based assets, such as tanks, armored personnel carriers, and self-propelled artillery, all of which require large caliber ammunition. The strategic importance of ground forces in regional security—particularly in dealing with insurgencies and territorial disputes—has led to increased procurement of high-powered artillery and precision-guided land munitions.

Another important trend is the localization of defense production. Countries in the MEA region, especially the UAE and Saudi Arabia, are emphasizing local manufacturing and defense industrialization to reduce dependence on foreign suppliers. By establishing joint ventures with global defense firms and investing in domestic production facilities, these nations are enhancing self-sufficiency and creating new growth opportunities for the ammunition market.

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Country Spotlight: United Arab Emirates

Among all countries in the region, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) is emerging as the fastest-growing market for large caliber ammunition. Driven by strategic military investments and an ambitious national security agenda, the UAE has focused on modernizing its armed forces. This includes substantial upgrades to its land and naval systems, both of which rely heavily on advanced ammunition.

The UAE is not only investing in acquisition but also in building a robust local defense manufacturing ecosystem. Initiatives to collaborate with global defense firms and encourage technology transfer have allowed the UAE to position itself as a regional hub for ammunition production and export. Its rising defense budget, coupled with a strong emphasis on precision-guided systems, makes it a key market for growth in the coming years.

Technological Advancements

Technological innovation is playing a central role in shaping the future of the MEA large caliber ammunition market. Advances in ballistics, propellants, smart fuses, and automated targeting systems are leading to the development of more sophisticated ammunition. These innovations enable armed forces to conduct operations with increased accuracy, range, and lethality, while also improving logistical efficiency.

As artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics continue to influence defense systems, we can expect future ammunition technologies to include networked targeting, adaptive guidance, and real-time data integration. These features will further enhance precision, reduce operational costs, and streamline mission planning.

Conclusion

The Middle East & Africa large caliber ammunition market is poised for sustained growth, driven by regional conflicts, increasing defense budgets, and the growing adoption of precision weaponry. With countries focusing on military modernization, self-reliance, and cutting-edge technology, the market will continue evolving over the coming years.

As security threats evolve and military strategies adapt, the demand for reliable, accurate, and technologically advanced ammunition will remain a central pillar of defense planning across the MEA region.

Major companies operating in Middle East & Africa Large Caliber Ammunition market are:

General Dynamics Corporation
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA
Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd
BAE Systems plc
Rheinmetall AG
Northrop Grumman Corporation
Saab AB
Denel SOC Ltd
Nammo AS
Diehl Stiftung & Co. KG

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“There is a noticeable trend toward increasing local manufacturing and defense production capabilities. Many nations in the region are keen to reduce their reliance on foreign arms suppliers, not only for reasons of national security but also to stimulate local economies and foster technological innovation within their defense industries. Countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE have set ambitious plans to increase local defense production, in line with their broader economic diversification efforts, such as Saudi Vision 2030.

This focus on domestic manufacturing aims to build local capacity for producing large caliber ammunition and other defense systems, ensuring that these nations can maintain greater control over their military supply chains while reducing reliance on imports. Furthermore, the creation of partnerships with international defense companies is allowing for technology transfer and joint ventures, strengthening the region’s defense manufacturing sector,” said Mr. Karan Chechi, Research Director of TechSci Research, a research-based management consulting firm.

"Middle East & Africa Large Caliber Ammunition Market By Caliber Type (40 - 60 mm, above 60mm), By End User (Naval Forces, Ground Forces), By Country, Competition, Forecast & Opportunities, 2020-2030F”, has evaluated the future growth potential of Middle East & Africa Large Caliber Ammunition market and provides statistics & information on market size, structure and future market growth. The report intends to provide cutting-edge market intelligence and help decision makers take sound investment decisions. Besides, the report also identifies and analyzes the emerging trends along with essential drivers, challenges, and opportunities in the Middle East & Africa Large Caliber Ammunition market.

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